I went through Gwern’s posts and collected all the posts with priority 8 and higher as of 2024-09-04 in case someone else was searching for something like this.

10

• How Often Does Correlation=Causality?
• Why Correlation Usually ≠ Causation
• Life Extension Cost-Benefits
• The Scaling Hypothesis
• Complexity no Bar to AI
• The Algernon Argument
• Embryo Selection For Intelligence
• Life Extension Cost-Benefits
• Colder Wars
• Metamagical Themas: Sanity and Survival
• The Existential Risk of Math Errors

9

• Iodine and Adult IQ meta-analysis
• Lithium in ground-water and well-being
• Melatonin
• Modafinil
• Modafinil community survey
• Nicotine
• Why Tool AIs Want to Be Agent AIs
• Machine Learning Scaling
• The Hyperbolic Time Chamber & Brain Emulation
• The Iron Law Of Evaluation And Other Metallic Rules
• Spaced Repetition for Efficient Learning
• Are Sunk Costs Fallacies?
• Plastination versus Cryonics
• The Iron Law Of Evaluation And Other Metallic Rules
• Silk Road 1: Theory & Practice
• Darknet Market Archives (2013–2015)
• The Melancholy of Subculture Society

8

• The Replication Crisis: Flaws in Mainstream Science
• How Should We Critique Research?
• The Narrowing Circle
• Zeo sleep self-experiments
• When Should I Check The Mail?
• Candy Japan’s new box A/B test
• The Kelly Coin-Flipping Game: Exact Solutions
• In Defense of Inclusionism
• Bitcoin Is Worse Is Better
• Time-lock encryption
• Easy Cryptographic Timestamping of Files
• GPT-3 Creative Fiction
• RNN Metadata for Mimicking Author Style
• Terrorism Is Not About Terror
• Terrorism Is Not Effective
• Archiving URLs
• Conscientiousness & Online Education
• Radiance: A Novel
• In Defense of Inclusionism